The medicine is killing the patient. Ontario’s Hospital and ICU Capacity are better than in the last 3 years. I write on behalf of my North York constituents and plead for the millions of lives and livelihoods ruined by Ontario’s Public Heath restrictions. The Lockdown isn’t working. It’s causing an avalanche of suicides, overdoses, bankruptcies, divorces and takes an immense toll on our children. Dozens of leading doctors implored you to end the Lockdowns. The crisis is largely limited to Long Term Care homes (LTC). With all LTC residents in "red zones" to be vaccinated by January ll, Ontario should end the Lockdown & the catastrophic toll it’s causing Ontarians.
"Hot zones" like Toronto and Peel have been in Lockdown since Thanksgiving without success. But the Lockdowns are objectively deadlier than Covid. For example:
(a) Cancer screenings at Princess Margret are back to 60% with Oncologist fearing a "tsunami of cancer."’’
(b) Ontario’s overdose rate is trending 50% above normal. The growth in the number of Ontarians who died of overdose in 2020 may be higher than the number of people who died from Covid outside LTC.
(c) According to The Canadian Mental Health Association, in September 2020,10% of adults reported "recent thoughts or feelings of suicide" (x4 normal). Among Canadians aged 19·35 the rates 20%.’’
(d) SickKids is calling the increase of eating disorders in young people an "unprecedented crisis"
(e) Tens of thousand5 of businesses shut down. The unemployment rate is near double & 320,000 people have not regained work. We are faced with a catastrophic wave of bankruptcies and foreclosures.
(f) The Government is criminalizing normal human behaviour and putting law abiding Ontarians in legal jeopardy. Public Health can’t change human behaviour. My heart breaks for family of Damien Moses."
Covid is real, but the fear of Covid is exaggerated. While every death is tragic, after 10 months we learned that Covid is not nearly as deadly as first thought - it has a 99.98% Infection Survival Rate. According to the CDC’s latest estimates, Covid’s Infection Fatal Rate by Age is as follows:
Age 0·19 Fatality Rate: 0.00003%
Age 20·49 Fatality Rate: 0.0002%
Age 50·69 Fatality Rate: 0.005%
Age 70+ Fatality Rate: 0.054%
Regretfully, since the start of the Pandemic about 5,000 Ontarians died from/with Covid. Approximately 4,000 (80%) of all Covid deaths occurred in Group Living Settings. "Of all 5.000 deaths, over 3,000 died in Long Term Care where victims were on average in their last year of life." We should focus on fix LTC!
Approximately 3,500 (70%) of all Ontarians who died were over age 80. While we mourn every death, only 200 people or 4% of all deaths were under age 60 and ZERO children died from Covid in Ontario.
HOSPITAL & ICU CAPACITY
Ontario’s hospital capacity is better than pre-Pandemic. On Jan. 12, Iwas advised as follows by MOH: Ontario Hospital Occupancy (Daily Average) Ontario ICU Occupancy (Daily Allerage)
2017 (1·16 Dec) 86.66%
2018 (1 16 Dec) 91.21%
2019 (1·16 Dec) 83.51%
2020 (1-16 Dec) 80.84%
2021 (Jan 1 13) 81.60%
On January 4, 2021,the ICU Occupancy rate was B0.6%,with Covid taking up only 16% of total ICU beds. Today, there are 385 Collid ICU patients/vi1 that’s less than one patient per Ontario’s 492 Hospitals. Risk can be minimized with transfers and good management. Urban area hospitals are always abo11e capacity at this time of year -that’s why we campaigned on ending Hallway Healthcare.
The lack of Capacity is created artificially by rationing healthcare resources in response to modeling bv the Command Table, except that the Table’s modeling is almost always wrong. The worst projection was made in the Fall Prep Plan. On September 30 the Table warned us that if Ontario maintained Michigan’s case trajectory, by end of October we will ha11e over 250 patients in ICU.
"Although Ontario maintained Michigan’s case trajectory, the actual number of ICU patients on October 31 was 73 or 3.5 times less than predicted."
While the Table can’t get Capacity modeling right, the hospital planning made and threatened in response to its modeling is catastrophic. Ontarians are needlessly denied care & surgeries.
The Lockdown is having catastrophic effects on Ontario’s children. Constituents tell me that their children developed anxiety. We are scaring children even though they are 100% safe. The Government should also follow SickKids’ advice against masking kids at school.
The crisis is in LTC homes, not schools. Premier, we should stop scaring children. This generation of kids will grow up with an anxiety disorder and will be afraid of normal life. Kids need to be kids again, back in school with their friends. They should not believe that coming close to another child may result in someone’s death. It’s false and unwarranted.
PROPOSED Exit Strategy
1. End the Lockdown and let Ontarians go back to normal life. That’s the best thing for their health.
2. Focus on LTC and proper IPAC instead of imprisoning 15 million Ontarians. With vaccination of all LTC residents in Ontario’s "red zones" by January 21.there’s much less justification for the Lockdown.
3. Build additional Hospital Capacity such as the facility at Joseph Brant and train ICU nurses.
4. Restore healthcare by ending Emergency Protocols (except LTC). Ontarians need healthcare back.
5. End the spread of fear & panic. It’s unjustified and causes considerable stress, especially on children.
The Lockdowns aren’t working. They are killing lives instead of saving lives. I plead with you to accept this reality and end the Lockdown. I wrote this letter with my greatest respect to you and our colleagues.
Roman Baber, mpp York Centre
READ THE ARTICLE ABOUT THE EXPULSION OF ROMAN BABER: No dissent tolerated: Ford ousts MPP Baber from PC caucus