Cities most impacted: Durham, Niagara, Mississauga and Markham

di Priscilla Pajdo del May 22, 2020

TORONTO - In our coverage of Covid-19 cases worldwide, we have offered an overview of the virus as it evolves. Our chart and graphs (which are updated daily online, illustrate confirmed positive cases and their movement between those that recover, those that remain active and those that result in fatality.

Today's chart takes a closer look at the progression of Covid-19 cases among the inner Golden Horseshoe.

In recent weeks, we examined the situation unfolding in the Regional Municipalities of Durham, York, Peel, Halton, Hamilton, Niagara and the City of Toronto (GTHNA), but with specific reference to the fatalities as they occurred in Regional Municipality by regional Municipality.

Now that the Province of Ontario has initiated its plan for "restarting" the economy, we may wish to keep in mind that things may once again come to an abrupt halt.

While we may all be eager to return to some sort of new "normal", our leaders – especial those at the local level – caution that this occur in a measured and cautious manner.

The chart on this page compares the relative experience of the various Municipalities comprising the inner Golden Horseshoe, which is increasingly called the Greater Toronto Hamilton Niagara area (GTHNA) – 7.384 million inhabitants of Ontario’s total 14.4 million residents, or approximately 55% of the province’s population.

Whatever the observations about the testing frequency and protocols, on May 20, Ontario's confirmed positive case count stood at 23,774. The GTHNA account for 18,182 of those confirmed positive cases. That represents a disproportionate 76% of all positive Covid-19 cases in the province.

The columns in this chart derived from reported cases to the Ministry from various sources, including public health institutes.

They demonstrate the number and percentage of recovered cases (green), active cases (pink) and cases that prove fatal (red) from all positive confirmed cases.

Among all the recovered cases in the province, the GTHNA represents 67% (11,757 recovered cases). That is a positive sign. Not so encouraging is the fact that, of the cases that remain active, 3,085, 85% of all active cases in Ontario, are in the GTHNA. 71% of all deaths in Ontario.

Even more sobering, while the provincial death count from Covid-19 is 1,962 fatalities, 71% of those deaths (1,393) occurred in the GTHNA.

As the province gives the "green light" to begin relaxing some covid·19 restrictions, the question remains ... is everyone prepared, or, how prepared are we?

The city of Toronto has allowed the opening of some retail outlets - with street access - golf courses, parks and o# lease dog parks, with restrictions and social distancing measures in place.

Some regional municipalities have chosen to take a more cautious approach when entering the next phase. In a press release on May 20, Brampton Mayor Patrick Brown commented on how there is still growth in Covid-19 cases in the region of Peel and that the curve has yet to "fully flatten". Until that happens, his municipality will opt for a more gradual approach to reopening.

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